Evaluating the conditionality of judgmental forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Improving Reliability of Judgmental Forecasts
All judgmental forecasts will be affected by the inherent unreliability, or inconsistency, of the judgment process. Psychologists have studied this problem extensively, but forecasters rarely address it. Researchers and theorists describe two types of unreliability that can reduce the accuracy of judgmental forecasts: (1) unreliability of information acquisition, and (2) unreliability of inform...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Forecasting
سال: 2019
ISSN: 0169-2070
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.026